Most events lie on the range of very improbable to extremely probable. Inversely, very few things in life are absolutely certain.
It also means that something that is very probable might not actually happen. That’s just randomness or some say it’s ‘luck’. We will feel less upset or unlucky if the improbable or unexpected happen to us if we are aware that everything lies on a spectrum of probability.
We can improve our decision making by thinking probabilistically. It doesn’t mean we will achieve good outcomes from our decision all the time, but in the long run, we PROBABLY will get more decisions right than wrong.
Probability tells us there’s always a chance.
My thoughts 